“We generally model what we are asked to model. There is a dialogue in which policy teams discuss with the modellers what they need to inform their policy.”
Beware that one of Biden's first actions in power was also to scramble the census by inserting some 6.5 million illegals in it. Of course, this had some effect on hiding alert signals. The result is that some US datasets have been updated while others weren't in terms of denominator ; making the US data almost un-usable - or at least not without serious modelling efforts.
Whenever people start looking at data it appears the collection of data is a mess with lots of holes. Makes you wonder what the best way of collecting data is? And whenever you collect data you find there is actually another bit of data you would quite like to have ….
Thank you! Perhaps seeing this in context will make it even more obviously important.
I've added this to a curation of 14 key facts and more than 80 sources on CDC corruption, to make historical context and verifiable evidence more quickly available.
Presume you’d expect that the ratio of boys :girls would be narrower at age 1year than at birth because of the slightly higher infant mortality rate in boys?
It is - this is just the size of the population. The point is that with any one birth cohort that ratio should remain pretty steady over time (as it did for the first half of the graph).
Models imply laziness...and over-reliance on AI...Could the obfuscation be deliberate..?
Do you remember when Graham Medley said this?
“We generally model what we are asked to model. There is a dialogue in which policy teams discuss with the modellers what they need to inform their policy.”
https://twitter.com/GrahamMedley/status/1472243230213394434
Apologies, but that one escaped me...but it's modelling in a nutshell...I am deeply into
defeating the Climate Catastrophe Scam, where modelling is rife...as it was before and
during SARS-CoV-2. Thank you for what you and your colleagues are doing, and more
power to your combined elbows..! I shall save that Tweet in a file for future study...
The government loves modeling. They can play with the variables until they get the results they want or hide what they don’t want you to know.
Beware that one of Biden's first actions in power was also to scramble the census by inserting some 6.5 million illegals in it. Of course, this had some effect on hiding alert signals. The result is that some US datasets have been updated while others weren't in terms of denominator ; making the US data almost un-usable - or at least not without serious modelling efforts.
https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2021/01/25/2021-01755/ensuring-a-lawful-and-accurate-enumeration-and-apportionment-pursuant-to-the-decennial-census
Thank you.
That explains a lot.
What a disaster!
Yeah, it's one of these decisions so mindbogglingly stupid that it's hard to assume anything but nefarious intent.
Whenever people start looking at data it appears the collection of data is a mess with lots of holes. Makes you wonder what the best way of collecting data is? And whenever you collect data you find there is actually another bit of data you would quite like to have ….
All very true.
Everything is imperfect.
It is still important to try though.
We can't just give up.
Began with Obama……
Thank you! Perhaps seeing this in context will make it even more obviously important.
I've added this to a curation of 14 key facts and more than 80 sources on CDC corruption, to make historical context and verifiable evidence more quickly available.
https://birdseyeviewperspective.substack.com/p/putting-cdc-and-acip-current-events
Presume you’d expect that the ratio of boys :girls would be narrower at age 1year than at birth because of the slightly higher infant mortality rate in boys?
It is - this is just the size of the population. The point is that with any one birth cohort that ratio should remain pretty steady over time (as it did for the first half of the graph).
Already known, Clare.
A keen insight.
🤑🤑🤑🤑