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Mathew Crawford's avatar

If you're overinterpretting a drifting baseline, that would mean that the results you're getting are even MORE unusually aligned, not LESS. The drifting baseline should dampen your denominators, resulting in a lower scaling factor for each current period. The higher the scaling factor, the more the means of the distributions should shift apart, which lowers of the probability of distribution overlap (where the order between two states would shift).

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Clare Craig's avatar

But what if everything else was normal and you introduced a too low or too high baseline randomly across the states. Some would have a constant negative excess and some a constant positive.

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Mathew Crawford's avatar

In this case, it's almost universally positive, still, so we don't have to worry about that. If and when it goes negative, the ordering may start to shuffle back randomly.

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SuperTuscans's avatar

I truly find this fascinating and am appreciative of your endeavours to investigate and understand the implications and consequences of the vaccination programme but alas my Stats ability simply isn’t good enough to really understand your research, other than in the broadest possible terms. However I hope you will persevere and discover whatever the facts may be.

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US Mortality's avatar

You can find all us state data at mortality.watch as well!

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Will R Thomson's avatar

Hi Dr Clare. since I was unable to get you to discuss science in your chat or public.. thibapoens with all the doctors who are all out there demanding we need scientific debate to find the truth then don't do it. letting everybody down.

what I've done is, I've launched my main CDC digital theoretical battleship off of Dr John Campbell head where it's been parked for 3 years with all the pathology evidence of how mRNA harms by making the T cells attack. I crashed it threw because at the time Dr John still hadn't figured that out yet, even after Marc Girardot told him. he still thought the issue was "CD4 HELPER inflammation". so he needed to know cd8 destruction, which triggers clots.

anyway, it was fun last time, but don't get his attention, then about 20 million more people died cos I can't get experts to speak in pubic.

so anyway. since you've not been too chatty. I've launched my main ship, joined with my fleet from YouTube space, FB space, telegram space and bitchute space and we are now heading at lightspeed to try to Land on your head.

if you'd rather I don't do that. can you please attempt scientific discussion please. otherwise it will hit be fun, and I'll go crash them into Dr yeadons head next.

Dr Phil just talked to me in public.dmfist doctor to do so in five years, and we solved the next potential bioterrorist attack in 5 minutes.

so give it a go. don't want to give you a headache.

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Jessica Hockett's avatar

Use county level, not state. Remove deaath with external causes as UcOD

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Myra's avatar

I think what you are trying to do is extremely difficult and will get more difficult as time goes on.

Unless we work on deaths/disease by Covid vaccination status, it will be difficult to come close to a conclusion?

Would the vax control group be a source for data?

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Will R Thomson's avatar

gently and politely asking , why's happened, Clare? What's made you decide to hyper focus on this complex little hill, when we already have a mountain range?

have too many people tried to criticise, so you feel the need to demonstrate your scientific prowess? if so. think twice about their motives. don't let them doubt yourself.

if you want to do statistics, do another article discussing the exact mechanism of harm.

and then count how many of your audience, demonstrate they heard you.

when the answer turns; out to be 0.01%. you will expose what's REALLY going on.

then repeat the experiment over an over.

the same result will come.

expose the devil, behind everybodies eyes.

they CANT learn it. so instead they critisize or distract .

that's what's really going on.

the Darkforce..

do. science.

then call me on the number I gave you.

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